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library(sf)
library(ggplot2)
countries <- readRDS("data/ai/preprocessed_data/countries.rds")Model report 3 — Diversity in a Globalized World
library(sf)
library(ggplot2)
countries <- readRDS("data/ai/preprocessed_data/countries.rds")A trade shock arrives in a place whether anyone wants it or not; nobody in a town chooses to have its factory close. Most of what this course studies works that way. AI is different. It arrives as a website, open to anyone with a connection, and each person who uses it decides what to ask for. The question is therefore not only where AI reaches, but what people do with it once it does.
The obvious guess is that AI is used the same way everywhere, since the tool is identical: the same model, the same interface, the same price. But a tool is also defined by its users. Where most users are students it may serve one purpose; where most are professionals, another. We therefore expected purposes to differ even though the technology does not.
This report asks whether AI is used the same way everywhere.
Anthropic, which makes the AI assistant Claude, classified millions of anonymised conversations and published country-level totals. We use May 2026, for which 121 countries have data. Each row is one country. Table 1 shows four of them.
countries |>
st_drop_geometry() |>
subset(iso3 %in% c("MEX", "USA", "TUN", "NOR"),
select = c(country, adoption_rate, used_for_study, automation_style)) |>
knitr::kable(row.names = FALSE)| country | adoption_rate | used_for_study | automation_style |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States of America | 20.16 | 8.94 | 49.59 |
| Tunisia | 0.27 | 51.52 | 49.79 |
| Norway | 0.35 | 26.38 | 41.26 |
| Mexico | 1.32 | 21.08 | 50.36 |
Three variables matter here. used_for_study is the share of a country’s conversations that are coursework. automation_style is the share in which the user handed over a whole task rather than working through it with the model. adoption_rate is the country’s share of all Claude use in the world: about 20% for the United States and 0.3% for Tunisia. Despite its name, it is not adjusted for population, so large countries tend to score high.
One warning applies to everything that follows, and we return to it at the end: the data describes people who use Claude, not the population of a country.
Figure 1 maps the share of use that is coursework. It is highest in North Africa, the Andes, southern Africa and Indonesia: more than half of all use in Tunisia, and close to half in Algeria and Indonesia. In the United States and Canada it is under one in ten, and Mexico sits at about 21%. Grey countries have no data, a reminder that Claude is not used everywhere.
ggplot(countries) +
geom_sf(aes(fill = used_for_study), color = "white", linewidth = 0.1) +
scale_fill_viridis_c(option = "rocket", direction = -1, na.value = "grey93",
name = "% of use") +
labs(title = "Share of AI use that is coursework, May 2026") +
coord_sf(crs = "+proj=robin") +
theme_void()Figure 2 asks not what AI is used for but how: the share of use in which the whole task is handed over. Many of the countries that use AI most for coursework also delegate most.
ggplot(countries) +
geom_sf(aes(fill = automation_style), color = "white", linewidth = 0.1) +
scale_fill_viridis_c(option = "mako", direction = -1, na.value = "grey93",
name = "% of use") +
labs(title = "Share of use where the whole task is handed over") +
coord_sf(crs = "+proj=robin") +
theme_void()Figure 3 shows each country’s share of all Claude use. It largely reflects how big a country is: the United States alone accounts for a fifth of the total and India for 7%. The countries that study most, such as Tunisia and Mozambique, and those that delegate most, such as Zimbabwe, each account for well under 1%.
ggplot(countries) +
geom_sf(aes(fill = adoption_rate), color = "white", linewidth = 0.1) +
scale_fill_viridis_c(option = "viridis", direction = -1, trans = "sqrt",
na.value = "grey93", name = "% of world\nuse") +
labs(title = "Each country's share of all Claude use") +
coord_sf(crs = "+proj=robin") +
theme_void()Figure 4 plots the two purposes against each other, one dot per country. The line slopes upward, with a correlation of 0.40: countries where more use is coursework also tend to be countries where more use hands over the whole task.
ggplot(countries, aes(x = used_for_study, y = automation_style)) +
geom_point(alpha = 0.6, size = 2, color = "#b44527") +
geom_smooth(method = "lm", color = "#0f6f96") +
labs(title = "Countries that use AI to study also use it to delegate",
x = "% of AI use that is coursework",
y = "% of use where the whole task is handed over") +
theme_minimal()This is a pattern across countries, not across people. It does not show that students are the ones delegating, only that countries with more coursework use also have more delegation. The tempting reading, that students use AI to get answers rather than explanations, is exactly the claim this data cannot support.
AI is not used the same way everywhere. The tool is identical, but what it is used for varies widely across countries. That makes this a finding about societies rather than about technology.
Coursework and delegation go together, but only among countries that account for small shares of world use. Among those with the largest shares, a mixed group that includes India and Nigeria as well as Germany and Singapore, the two are unrelated and delegation is somewhat lower.
We cannot say why. Countries with large shares tend to be bigger, and many are richer with older populations. Any of these could produce the pattern, as could longer experience with AI. And because we observe many countries in a single month, we cannot watch any country change over time.
The maps did something the scatterplots could not. Seeing the same regions darken in Figure 1 and Figure 2 is what suggested comparing the two. Figure 3 is what showed us that the share-of-use measure largely tracks country size.
The most important limitation affects every sentence above: the data describes Claude users, not populations. Only a fraction of any country’s people use Claude, so “half of Tunisian use is coursework” describes Tunisian Claude users. They are probably younger, more urban and better connected than Tunisians in general. When we write “in country X, people use AI for…”, we mean the people in country X who use Claude.
The patterns are between countries, not individuals. And adoption_rate measures a country’s share of world use, not how widespread AI is within it. Asking whether use changes as AI spreads would need a measure adjusted for population.
The data covers one assistant in one month. Users of other AI tools may behave differently, and May 2026 may not be typical. Finally, “delegating” is a classification, not a judgement: handing over a whole task is sometimes exactly the right use of the tool.
| What we did | AI? | What we asked | How we checked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fixing missing countries | Yes | Why France and Norway were blank on our map | Found the country-code column was -99; checked against the data |
| Choosing a map projection | Yes | How to avoid Greenland dominating | Compared three projections and chose Robinson |
| Deciding the question | No | — | — |
| Writing the interpretation | No | — | — |
One prompt we used:
“I have an sf object called
countrieswith a variableadoption_ratethat is very skewed. My map is almost entirely one colour. What are my options and what does each one do to the reader’s impression?”
What we changed afterwards. It suggested three fixes and we chose the square root scale. But its last point was the useful one: any transformation changes what the reader sees, so we should say which one we used. That is why trans = "sqrt" is visible in the code above rather than hidden.
Anthropic Economic Index, release of 26 June 2026, published under a CC-BY licence at https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex. Country outlines from Natural Earth.